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Wednesday, 14th March 2012
In Japan Sports News, Sports,

Mathematician predicts Japan's Olympics soccer chances

A maths scholar at Tokai University has used a complex computer simulation to predict the probability that the Japan women's football team will win gold at this year's London 2012 Olympics.

Having won the Fifa Women's World Cup last year, the Japan women's soccer team are one of the favourites to triumph at this year's tournament, and Professor Norio Torigoe's calculations give them a 20.8 per cent chance of winning, the Mainichi Daily reported.

The Tokai University professor analysed 85 games played between 12 national football teams since 2009 to come up with his figures, and his statistics mean the Nadeshiko Japan are second favourites, behind the US side who have a 27.3 per cent chance.

They are well ahead of third and fourth-placed Sweden and Britain, however, both of which have less than a 13 per cent likelihood of winning, according to Professor Torigoe's statistics.

"As Britain hosts the Olympics and was the only winner against the 'Nadeshiko Japan' champions in last year's World Cup tournament, it could be stronger than indicated by the percentage," the mathematician told the news provider.

Japan finished runners up in last month's Algarve Cup, losing 4-3 to Germany in a thrilling final.

Written by Susan Ballion

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